Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.002092 0.002200 0.002314 0.002444 0.002588 0.002745 0.002928
2025-06-22 0.001926 0.002078 0.002246 0.002449 0.002690 0.002972 0.003331
2025-06-29 0.001787 0.001963 0.002164 0.002417 0.002733 0.003124 0.003663
2025-07-06 0.001691 0.001882 0.002108 0.002402 0.002784 0.003284 0.004025
2025-07-13 0.001572 0.001764 0.001995 0.002300 0.002709 0.003263 0.004124
2025-07-20 0.001513 0.001713 0.001958 0.002290 0.002750 0.003399 0.004476
2025-07-27 0.001474 0.001684 0.001945 0.002309 0.002828 0.003596 0.004965
2025-08-03 0.001425 0.001638 0.001907 0.002289 0.002847 0.003704 0.005328
2025-08-10 0.001397 0.001618 0.001901 0.002311 0.002929 0.003920 0.005952
2025-08-17 0.001359 0.001582 0.001871 0.002296 0.002951 0.004039 0.006419
2025-08-24 0.001319 0.001542 0.001834 0.002267 0.002947 0.004112 0.006809
2025-08-31 0.001314 0.001546 0.001857 0.002328 0.003094 0.004480 0.008099
2025-09-07 0.001295 0.001533 0.001855 0.002353 0.003187 0.004773 0.009428
2025-09-14 0.001261 0.001499 0.001822 0.002328 0.003191 0.004887 0.010293
2025-09-21 0.001225 0.001460 0.001781 0.002289 0.003165 0.004931 0.010959
2025-09-28 0.001199 0.001433 0.001756 0.002271 0.003177 0.005064 0.012138
2025-10-05 0.001152 0.001376 0.001685 0.002178 0.003043 0.004838 0.011494
2025-10-12 0.001131 0.001356 0.001667 0.002169 0.003065 0.004984 0.012855
2025-10-19 0.001119 0.001347 0.001665 0.002185 0.003136 0.005267 0.015506
2025-10-26 0.001098 0.001324 0.001643 0.002168 0.003138 0.005377 0.017350
2025-11-02 0.001088 0.001318 0.001644 0.002187 0.003218 0.005713 0.022350
2025-11-09 0.001070 0.001299 0.001625 0.002174 0.003227 0.005857 0.026363
2025-11-16 0.001050 0.001276 0.001600 0.002148 0.003209 0.005915 0.029823